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Friday, July 3, 2009
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Childhood Asthma Prognosis

Prognosis


Asthma is the third major cause of hospitalization in children under age 15. The condition can be very serious in children, particularly those younger than age 5, because their airways are very narrow.

Degree of Severity

The severity of asthma is graded as mild intermittent and mild, moderate, and severe persistent. A patient in any of these categories, even mild intermittent, can still experience a severe and even life-threatening attack. According to one report, 30% of asthma deaths occur in patients with mild asthma.

Risk Factors for Life-Threatening Asthma

Asthma is rarely fatal in children, with only 176 asthma deaths reported in 1999 in children under age 15. (About 444 fatalities occurred in people between ages 15 and 34.) But even these low numbers are unacceptable, since asthma deaths are largely preventable.

Factors associated with an increased risk of death from asthma in children include:

  • Previous life-threatening episodes of asthma
  • Lack of adequate and ongoing health care. (Most likely the reason for the higher fatalities rates in minority children.)
  • Significant behavioral problems
  • Underestimating the severity of an acute attack poses the greatest threat. Unfortunately, one study of children found that nearly 40% of them were unaware of asthmatic symptoms when they occurred.

African American children have more than six times the death rate of Caucasian Americans in the age groups of 4 years and younger and 15 to 24 years. Hispanic children also have a higher risk. A 2002 study suggested that these children tend to be given inferior treatments compared to Caucasian children.

Symptoms of a Life-Threatening Attack

The following signs and symptoms may indicate a life-threatening situation:

  • As the chest labors to bring enough air into the lungs, breathing often becomes shallow
  • Lacking sufficient oxygen, the skin becomes bluish
  • The flesh around the ribs of the chest appears to be sucked in
  • The patient may begin to lose consciousness

Asthma often progresses very slowly to a serious condition or may develop to a fatal or near-fatal attack within a few minutes. It is very difficult to predict when an attack will become very serious. Early symptoms or lack thereof do not always reflect the ultimate severity of an attack. Some studies even suggest that people at high risk for fatal or near-fatal asthma attacks are those with poor awareness of their own reduced ability to breathe and who are slow in seeking help. Monitoring peak flow rates is, therefore, an important management component, since it provides a more accurate assessment of lung function than symptoms alone.

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Review Date: 03/18/2006
Reviewed By: Harvey Simon, MD, Associate Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School; Physician, Massachusetts General Hospital.

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