Type 2 Diabetes: Risk Factors

Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome

Obesity is the number one risk factor for type 2 diabetes. It is estimated that 80 - 95% of the current dramatic increases in type 2 diabetes are due to obesity. Excess body fat appears to play a strong role in insulin resistance, but the way the fat is distributed is also significant. Weight concentrated around the abdomen and in the upper part of the body (apple-shaped) is associated with insulin resistance and diabetes, heart disease, high blood pressure, stroke, and unhealthy cholesterol levels. Waist circumferences greater than 35 inches in women and 40 inches in men have been specifically associated with a greater risk for heart disease and diabetes. (People with a "pear-shape" -- fat that settles around the hips and flank -- appear to have a lower risk for with these conditions.) However, obesity does not explain all cases of type 2 diabetes. It is also common among people in countries where weights tend to be low, such as Asia or India.

Metabolic Syndrome. A set of conditions referred to as metabolic syndrome (also called syndrome X) is a pre-diabetic condition that is significantly associated with heart disease and higher mortality rates from all causes. The syndrome consists of obesity marked by abdominal fat, unhealthy cholesterol levels, high blood pressure, and insulin resistance. A 2002 study estimated that nearly a quarter of the U.S. population now has this condition. Even worse, according to a 2003 study, nearly a million American teenagers have this syndrome.

Family History

Between 25 - 33% of patients with type 2 diabetes have family members with diabetes. Having a first-degree relative with the disease poses a 40% risk of developing diabetes. One study reported that people with diabetic family histories have a higher risk for developing the disease at an earlier stage and with more severe features. Because families share many lifestyle features (eating and exercise habits) it is difficult to determine when genetics or environment play the major role. When clusters of diabetes type 1 and 2 appear within families, genetic factors should be strongly suspected.

Ethnicity

The risk for type 2 diabetes varies among population groups. Diabetes also seems to pose higher or lower risks for specific complications among ethnic groups. Genetic and socioeconomic factors, or both, seem to be involved in some ethnic differences, but in most cases the observed increase in ethnic groups in Americans is due to changes in traditional lifestyles.

• African Americans. African American men have twice the risk of developing type 2 diabetes as Caucasian men. African Americans with diabetes are also at higher risk for amputations than Caucasians. This is most likely due to a higher incidence of high blood pressure and smoking as well as poorer health care in African Americans. Genetic factors may also play a role. For example, there is some evidence that African Americans process insulin in the liver differently from Caucasians, which may make them more susceptible to diabetes when other risk factors are present.
• Native Americans. The Pima tribe in Arizona has an incidence of type 2 diabetes that is 19 times higher than that of the white population. The risk for diabetic complications among young Pima adults is also very high. Other Native American tribes in North America are also at high risk for type 2 diabetes. The association between diet and diabetes among this population remains critical, however, in assessing the reason for their higher risk. For example, Pimas who live in Mexico exercise more and eat less fat (but consume more calories) than Pima tribes in Arizona. Mexican Pimas have a prevalence of diabetes of only 6%, while half of their Arizona Pima neighbors have diabetes.
• Hispanic Americans. The rate of type 2 diabetes is also very high among Mexican Americans, approximately double that for Caucasians. This group may also be at higher risk for heart problems than other ethnic groups with diabetes.
• Asian Americans. Overweight Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders are at increased risk for developing type 2 diabetes. The risk for some Asian ethnic groups, (such as Native Hawaiians and Filipinos), is twice that of Caucasians.